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The Most Important Thing
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risk is largely a matter of opinion

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risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

The Most Important Thing
The Most Important Thing
Lessons from Investment Gurus
Community Logo

risk is largely a matter of opinion

You are invited to join

risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

The Most Important Thing
The Most Important Thing
Lessons from Investment Gurus
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risk is largely a matter of opinion

You are invited to join

risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

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risk is largely a matter of opinion

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Successful investing requires thoughtful attention to many separate aspects, all at the same time. Omit any one and the result is likely to be less than satisfactory. The idea of the most important things—each is a brick in a solid wall, and none is dispensable.

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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·9 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
I'd wager Anthropic's founders would like nothing better than to steal OpenAI's thunder by being first to tap the public markets. Presuming the economy doesn't falter (and that is by no means certain)...
Anthropic Will Test The Markets First
johnbattelle.medium.com

Anthropic Will Test The Markets First

2026 Predictions, #9

Na
Nate commented · 7 hours ago
OpenAI has lowered the amount of capital it is seeking from investors in its latest fundraising round by $10 billion, according to a Friday report by The Financial Times. The company was initially seeking to raise $30 billion at a $1.4 trillion valuation. It lowered the valuation last week to $1.25 trillion, The Information and others reported, and is now reducing the target for the raise to $20 billion. New York-based investment firm Coatue Management and investors from the United Arab Emirates were in talks to lead the round. The lowered targets prompt questions about the level of interest in the fundraising talks. An OpenAI spokesperson declined to comment. https://www.ft.com/content/7a3ad950-1b3b-4d9e-8c15-65a61ae6180f?syn-25a6b1a6=1&utm_campaign=%5BREBRAND%5D+%5BTI-AM%5D+Th&utm_content=1095&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=124
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D J's profile picture on Select App
DJ
D J
·5 years ago
shared a media post in group #The Most Important Thing
Prediction - Cybersecurity funds are poised for explosive growth. Global spending on cybersecurity exceeded $150 billion in 2021 and will likely continue to be a high-growth industry. Investment in ...
JC
Jerome Cody commented · last week
If open-source and standard commercial models can be tricked this easily via software harnesses, are current AI safety guardrails just security theater? How do providers even fix this without breaking legitimate developer workflows? https://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/applied-ai/bank-hackers-got-claude-dirty-work
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·4 years ago
shared a media post in group #The Most Important Thingvia#The Most Important Thing
On Wednesday, Tesla held its Investor Day; this year's event was highly anticipated as Elon Musk promised to reveal part 3 of his master plan after last releasing part 2 in 2016. While Musk did reiter...
TS
Todd Smith commented · 2 weeks ago
“A Tesla Flying Car? I Don’t Know, Man” #Auto Future https://www.wired.com/story/tesla-flying-car-faa/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=bluesky&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_content=437a6fdfc0a80b328ee6b6faa7a37d30
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·3 years ago
shared a poll post in group #The Most Important Thing
[2024 Group Prediction] Who’s leading the global EV race this year? In Q4 2023, BYD overtook Tesla as the world's largest electric car company, achieving record sales of 525,409 battery electric veh...
Nica took a screenshot of the discussion · 2 months ago
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Todd Smith
·3 years ago
shared a media post in group #The Most Important Thing
Should I cash out on Nvidia? I bought a lot of nvidia several years ago and currently have a thousand shares. My portfolio has multiplied In value several times. Seeing how nvidia is near its all time...
JC
Jerome Cody commented · 4 weeks ago
Where will Nvidia’s $100 billion dealmaking juggernaut go next? (https://www.theinformation.com/articles/nvidias-100-billion-dealmaking-juggernaut-will-go-next?offer=rtsu-engagement-25%2Crtsu-featured-articles-pro&cio_link_id=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__50df910ef84479dc7611b659140b8612e21172cb9727fcf8caf0ff06d780c49b&utm_campaign=%5BClaude%5D+RTSU%3A+Where&utm_content=15517&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=10660) Robot, self-driving car technology and local AI deals are possibilities. #Robotics Revolution 🦾🤖🦿 #Auto Future
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Ta
Tasia
·4 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
The massive global data center buildout is causing parts shortages around the technology industry. This is perhaps most evident in today's memory prices, which are skyrocketing. So much so that consum...
Gadget prices have fallen for decades. Then AI happened.
www.cbsnews.com

Gadget prices have fallen for decades. Then AI happened.

The race to build AI data centers is leading to a global shortage of memory chips, driving up the cost of personal electronics.

Na
Nate commented · 2 months ago
Two Chinese DRAM ventures launched in 2016 with government backing. A decade later, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) and Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) offer sharply different stories about what it takes to build a memory chip business under U.S. technology restrictions. #Podcasts We ❤️ #🇨🇳 ChinA.I. 🤖🧠🦾🤖 #Artificial Intelligence #A Glance of China 行摄中国 https://voiceofcontext.substack.com/p/how-us-tech-restrictions-helped-build?utm_source=multiple-personal-recommendations-email&utm_medium=email&triedRedirect=true
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Jerome Cody's profile picture on Select App
JC
Jerome Cody
·4 years ago
shared a media post in group #The Most Important Thing
might this turn into a new gilded age for tech? As most companies, over a certain size, have hoarded techies for years, smaller (ie innovative) have either not been started or struggled with "everythi...
Ta
Tasia commented · 2 months ago
Anthropic’s economists think we can maybe keep our jobs What happened:  Anthropic economists released a new interactive model (https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios?ref=platformer.news) of AI-based economic disruption. The model takes in predictions about the trajectory of AI capabilities and outputs scenarios about how the economy and jobs will fare in 2030 as a result. The researchers present a “moderate,” a “substantial,” and an “extreme” scenario. Interestingly, the team’s “extreme” scenario, which predicts GDP growth rising to a truly bonkers 15.4% per year in 2030, would lead to an 8.9% increase in unemployment from AI.  Meanwhile, their “substantial” scenario, which relies on AI predictions based on a recent survey of 10,000 Americans, predicts a still-high 5.4% growth rate in 2030, but only an 0.7% increase in unemployment from AI. The forecasts are substantially more conservative than the warnings CEO Dario Amodei has issued regarding AI-related unemployment. Last year, Amodei told Axios (https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic?ref=platformer.news) that he worries about a scenario where “Cancer is cured, the economy grows at 10% a year, the budget is balanced — and 20% of people don't have jobs.” Why we’re following: It’s interesting to see Anthropic’s economists being (relatively) optimistic here. One reason why: they expect AI-related economic growth to increase demand and wages for manual labor, offsetting losses in computer-based work like software engineering. One of the authors' main conclusions, though, is that, given a range of all seemingly reasonable parameters, “the range of outcomes is wide.” So we could see a scenario with substantial growth and modestly higher unemployment, or crazy growth and crazy unemployment.
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·2 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Waymo appears to be far far ahead anyone else in autonomous driving. They could really run errr drive away with this! Autonomous vehicle company Waymo, a subsidiary of Google parent Alphabet, anno...
Investing to bring the Waymo Driver to more riders
waymo.com

Investing to bring the Waymo Driver to more riders

Today, we’re excited to announce that we’ve closed an oversubscribed investment round of $5.6 billion, led by Alphabet, with continued participation from Andreessen Horowitz, Fidelity, Perry Creek, S

Ta
Tasia commented · 3 weeks ago
Spot on. Once you see it handle unmarked construction zones and unexpected detours in real-time, it's really hard to go back to basic lane-keep assist. #Auto Future https://medium.com/@joe_62117/buying-a-car-without-fsd-is-buying-a-flip-phone-4f83db16d6f0
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·3 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Is ALB a buy? Once a paper mill, Albemarle became the most valuable lithium producer after investing $6B nearly a decade ago on a hunch that the metal used in EV batteries would pop off. TL;DR: it wa...
A Onetime Paper Maker Is Now the King of Lithium
www.wsj.com

A Onetime Paper Maker Is Now the King of Lithium

Charlotte, N.C.-based Albemarle, which began as a paper mill in 1887, has become a key cog in a tight global supply chain for battery metals used in electric cars and smartphones.

D J took a screenshot of this post and discussion · 2 months ago
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·2 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Elon Musk’s big robotaxi reveal on Thursday night went down like a lead balloon with investors today. Tesla shares fell 9%, while shares of Uber, whose business is theoretically at risk from a Tesla r...
Tesla shares fall after Elon Musk’s glitzy ‘Cybercab’ event disappoints
www.ft.com

Tesla shares fall after Elon Musk’s glitzy ‘Cybercab’ event disappoints

Stock drops 9% as investors bemoan ‘underwhelming’ lack of detail about planned autonomous fleet

Ta
Tasia commented · 2 months ago
"After experiencing Cybercab for the past few days in Austin, I think the biggest thing people are missing is the zero-sum game built into Uber. #Auto Future You have two people sharing one environment, with different preferences. The driver likes the temperature at 66. I want 72. If I get more comfortable, he gets less comfortable. He likes his music. I want mine. He wants the windows open. I want them closed. I take a few extra minutes getting to the car, and those are minutes another human spends waiting for me. There’s this constant little tug of war. My comfort and convenience can come at the expense of his. And I don’t blame the driver. It’s his working environment. He’s in that car all day. Of course he has preferences. That’s why I just let him play whatever music he wants. I don’t want my comfort to come at his expense. We’ve gotten so accustomed to this that we barely notice the tension anymore. Then you take a Cybercab. I set the temperature to 72. Nobody gets less comfortable. I play my Spotify at the volume I want. Nobody has to give up their music. I grab my Starbucks and take a couple of minutes to walk over, within the pickup window. Nobody is sitting there getting irritated with me. The car has no competing preferences. That is a profound change in the experience. I can optimize the ride around what makes me comfortable without asking another person to sacrifice what makes them comfortable. And you feel it. You get in, lean back, and relax. There’s no negotiation. No wondering whether your request is going to annoy someone. That whole layer of social tension disappears. I think this is a huge part of Cybercab’s value. Removing that zero-sum dynamic changes what the service feels like at its core. Once people experience that, I think a lot of them are going to have a very hard time going back to Uber." https://x.com/davelee/status/2097809911635697767?s=20&_bhlid=2a318119323655c0bd0c50e5a407c04c1585a51d
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Cyril's profile picture on Select App
Cy
Cyril
·7 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Are Apple’s glory days may be behind it? 🤔 Happy talk. That’s what you get when CEOs pass the baton, and so it was with Apple’s long-anticipated announcement that Tim Cook would give up the top job, ...
Three Big Questions for Apple’s Next CEO, John Ternus
www.theinformation.com

Three Big Questions for Apple’s Next CEO, John Ternus

The most anticipated CEO transition in Silicon Valley is finally official. Apple on Monday announced that Tim Cook will pass the CEO baton to John Ternus, the company’s senior vice president of hardware engineering. The changeover will happen September 1, when Cook will become executive chair, ...

Bo
Bobby commented · yesterday
Be honest—do you care more about Apple celebrating 20 years with a radical redesign, or are you just mad that base prices hit $899? #Gadgets https://medium.com/apples-time/skipped-the-iphone-18-pro-and-duo-good-heres-what-apple-is-hiding-for-2027-7b41fcffec91
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Jerome Cody's profile picture on Select App
JC
Jerome Cody
·9 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
The Great SaaS Meltdown has started and there’s no going back… A new AI-oriented workflow is coming… the great SaaS meltdown has started. For most of the past two decades, enterprise software benefit...
$300 Billion Evaporated. The SaaS -Pocalypse Has Begun.
www.forbes.com

$300 Billion Evaporated. The SaaS -Pocalypse Has Begun.

AI didn’t kill software. It broke the SaaS growth story. $300B vanished as markets repriced legacy models and shifted toward agent-driven, outcome-based economics.

Na
Nate commented · 2 weeks ago
Bending Spoons running massive multi-million dollar software platforms like Vimeo and Evernote with a core team of only ~60 people each is wild. Is hyper-lean post-merger integration the new blueprint for PE and public tech, or are we sacrificing long-term product innovation for short-term margins? #The Most Important Thing https://cloud.substack.com/p/5-interesting-learnings-from-bending?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=10969&post_id=220576074&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=6hfx4&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email
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risk is largely a matter of opinion