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risk is largely a matter of opinion

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risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

The Most Important Thing
The Most Important Thing
Lessons from Investment Gurus
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risk is largely a matter of opinion

You are invited to join

risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

The Most Important Thing
The Most Important Thing
Lessons from Investment Gurus
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risk is largely a matter of opinion

You are invited to join

risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

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risk is largely a matter of opinion

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Successful investing requires thoughtful attention to many separate aspects, all at the same time. Omit any one and the result is likely to be less than satisfactory. The idea of the most important things—each is a brick in a solid wall, and none is dispensable.

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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·7 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
I'd wager Anthropic's founders would like nothing better than to steal OpenAI's thunder by being first to tap the public markets. Presuming the economy doesn't falter (and that is by no means certain)...
Anthropic Will Test The Markets First
johnbattelle.medium.com

Anthropic Will Test The Markets First

2026 Predictions, #9

JC
Jerome Cody commented · 19 hours ago
In the run-up to Anthropic’s IPO, here’s what investors say they want the company to disclose (https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropics-ipo-investors-want-know?offer=rtsu-engagement-25%2Crtsu-featured-articles-pro&cio_link_id=eyJlbWFpbF9pZCI6ImRnU2kwUVlEQUplSkJwYUpCZ0dnYVlCR2FQbUVLVjIyOW90Q0FKaz0iLCJocmVmIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cudGhlaW5mb3JtYXRpb24uY29tL2FydGljbGVzL2FudGhyb3BpY3MtaXBvLWludmVzdG9ycy13YW50LWtub3c_b2ZmZXI9cnRzdS1lbmdhZ2VtZW50LTI1JTJDcnRzdS1mZWF0dXJlZC1hcnRpY2xlcy1wcm9cdTAwMjZjaW9fbGlua19pZD1DSU8tLUxJTktJRFx1MDAyNnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj0lNUJDbGF1ZGUlNUQrJTVCTkwlNUQrUlRTVSUzQVx1MDAyNnV0bV9jb250ZW50PTE0NzIxXHUwMDI2dXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbFx1MDAyNnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9Y2lvXHUwMDI2dXRtX3Rlcm09MTAzMjAiLCJpbnRlcm5hbCI6ImEyZDEwNjAzODY0YTk3ODkwNiIsImxpbmtfaWQiOjEwMzYzOX0__7a83303e8e42e1c04638d4d8c5676a23650f1eb4e86954b230019d1f697fb902&utm_campaign=%5BClaude%5D+%5BNL%5D+RTSU%3A&utm_content=14721&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=10320 ) token prices to compute costs.
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·2 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Elon Musk’s big robotaxi reveal on Thursday night went down like a lead balloon with investors today. Tesla shares fell 9%, while shares of Uber, whose business is theoretically at risk from a Tesla r...
Tesla shares fall after Elon Musk’s glitzy ‘Cybercab’ event disappoints
www.ft.com

Tesla shares fall after Elon Musk’s glitzy ‘Cybercab’ event disappoints

Stock drops 9% as investors bemoan ‘underwhelming’ lack of detail about planned autonomous fleet

SM
Sam Mendoza commented · last week
Robotaxis are real now — so is the pushback. As more robotaxis hit the road, the fight over the rules governing the technology is intensifying #Auto Future https://www.theverge.com/transportation/983765/robotaxi-waymo-zoox-tesla-rules-pushback-nhtsa?utm_source=snacks&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=snacks_20260827&utm_content=148912374b10b2291b5f26b4501cb1f0
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Nate's profile picture on Select App
Na
Nate
·2 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Last year Palantir Technologies was the single best-performing stock in the S&P 500, rising 340%. The software company has been on a tear lately, too, in no small part because key backers like Peter T...
Analysts Split on Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): Jefferies Sees 65% Downside, While Wedbush Remains Bullish on AI Growth
finance.yahoo.com

Analysts Split on Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): Jefferies Sees 65% Downside, While Wedbush Remains Bullish on AI Growth

We recently compiled a list of the 10 Trending AI Stocks on Investors’ Radar. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) stands against the other AI

SM
Sam Mendoza commented · 3 weeks ago
Anthropic and OpenAI’s move to develop #Artificial Intelligence applications and features tailored to specific industries continues to worry their customers, some of which must now compete head-on with their main AI suppliers (https://www.theinformation.com/articles/will-anthropic-openai-stop-selling-best-ai-businesses?offer=rtsu-engagement-25%2Crtsu-featured-articles-pro&cio_link_id=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__3a2493e684a14dee0fb6ae672f95d2b98942badcbe5c63309c95013640ba335d&utm_campaign=%5BClaude%5D+%5BNL%5D+RTSU%3A&utm_content=14529&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=10150).
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
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Sam Mendoza
·2 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Waymo appears to be far far ahead anyone else in autonomous driving. They could really run errr drive away with this! Autonomous vehicle company Waymo, a subsidiary of Google parent Alphabet, anno...
Investing to bring the Waymo Driver to more riders
waymo.com

Investing to bring the Waymo Driver to more riders

Today, we’re excited to announce that we’ve closed an oversubscribed investment round of $5.6 billion, led by Alphabet, with continued participation from Andreessen Horowitz, Fidelity, Perry Creek, S

Ta
Tasia commented · 2 weeks ago
Worries that Waymo will take business from Uber have pummeled the stock this year. But sellers are overlooking the value of its delivery business. #The Most Important Thing Sellers are overreacting. Uber can still sustain rapid growth and expand its profit margins while staying competitive in the autonomous-driving race #Auto Future in the years to come. https://www.theinformation.com/articles/uber-bears-taken-wrong-turn?offer=rtsu-engagement-25%2Crtsu-featured-articles-pro&utm_campaign=%5BClaude%5D+RTSU%3A+Uber&utm_content=14538&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=10159&rc=gzsl71
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Nate's profile picture on Select App
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Nate
·3 years ago
shared a poll post in group #The Most Important Thing
[2024 Group Prediction] Does Warner Bros. Discovery make a big comeback this year? Shares just dropped 12% in Q4 as the company reported a net loss of $400M, but they ended 2023 with $6.16B in free c...
JC
Jerome Cody commented · last week
California’s attorney general, Rob Bonta, is getting a lot of attention for the lawsuit he and 11 other state attorneys general filed to block Paramount Skydance’s $110 billion purchase of Warner Bros. Discovery. The state attorneys general are operating under the delusion that we’re still in the 1990s—they allege that Paramount would get too much power in the slowly dying cable television industry and the film industry.  Someone needs to remind the attorneys general that strength in streaming video, not cable, is what matters now, and in streaming both Paramount and Warner are behind leaders like Netflix. It is possible Bonta is trying to do Paramount CEO David Ellison a favor. After all, the best thing for the company would be to jettison many of the cable channels it would inherit if the Warner deal goes through. And since Paramount is taking on a lot of debt—the combined business would have $79 billion of debt at closing—raising money by selling a few declining assets wouldn’t be a bad idea. Ellison should thank Bonta for the idea and dump as many cable channels as he can!
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Cyril's profile picture on Select App
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Cyril
·5 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Are Apple’s glory days may be behind it? 🤔 Happy talk. That’s what you get when CEOs pass the baton, and so it was with Apple’s long-anticipated announcement that Tim Cook would give up the top job, ...
Three Big Questions for Apple’s Next CEO, John Ternus
www.theinformation.com

Three Big Questions for Apple’s Next CEO, John Ternus

The most anticipated CEO transition in Silicon Valley is finally official. Apple on Monday announced that Tim Cook will pass the CEO baton to John Ternus, the company’s senior vice president of hardware engineering. The changeover will happen September 1, when Cook will become executive chair, ...

Cy
Cyril commented · 3 days ago
After 15 years leading Apple, Tim Cook is stepping down as chief executive on Monday. And while he is committed to a smooth transition and continuity to the tenure of John Ternus—senior vice president of hardware engineering, who takes over on Tuesday—changes are already happening. Notably, long-time Apple executive Phil Schiller is stepping down as head of App Store and product events, Bloomberg reported. The App Store team will be moved under services lead Eddy Cue, while events will be switched to public relations lead Kristin Huguet Quayle. Schiller, who previously was senior vice president of marketing until 2020, was part of the Apple old guard with deep connections to cofounder Steve Jobs when he came back to the company to successfully lead the company as CEO. (Schiller was once nicknamed “mini-Steve” as he mirrored Jobs’ fierce management style.) Schiller was often more influential than his titles would suggest, as he would weigh in on various parts of the business and product strategy. Bloomberg reported that Schiller would stay involved in the company and keep his title of “Apple Fellow” but was part of ultimately retiring. In his own goodbye memo to employees, Cook wrote: “This is a moment I always knew would come one day, and yet it is still hard to believe it has arrived and I am writing these words.” Cook will stay on as executive chairman and is expected to be deeply involved in parts of the company. “I look forward to seeing you in my new role at Apple Park and around the world,” he wrote https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-31/apple-s-phil-schiller-steps-down-from-running-app-store-and-product-events?utm_campaign=%5BREBRAND%5D+%5BTI-AM%5D+Th&utm_content=1095&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=124
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TS
Todd Smith
·3 years ago
shared a media post in group #The Most Important Thing
Should I cash out on Nvidia? I bought a lot of nvidia several years ago and currently have a thousand shares. My portfolio has multiplied In value several times. Seeing how nvidia is near its all time...
JC
Jerome Cody commented · 20 hours ago
Hugging Face is a popular archive of open-source AI models—yes, the name is a distraction—used by developers to make applications and tailor them to specific AI chips. The purchase could theoretically give Nvidia the power to influence the chips those developers use, although Huang insisted in a blog post on Thursday the company won’t do that. “Hugging Face will remain an open platform for the entire AI ecosystem,” he said. Still, as one commenter on X pointed out Thursday, Nvidia could set things up so that models work fastest on its hardware, giving it an edge over its rivals. There’s no question chip rivals aren’t thrilled. As one executive at a rival firm told Phoebe, Hugging Face is “100%” important to hardware designers, which might find it hard to trust the business once Nvidia owns it. Those rivals are likely to be the ones complaining the loudest to antitrust authorities, we’d bet. (The U.S. Department of Justice started looking into various other complaints from Nvidia competitors a couple of years ago, but that didn’t seem to go anywhere.) The argument in favor of the deal is that American business needs a thriving open-source AI sector, if only to keep a lid on costs. Given how hard it is to make money in open source, there’s no guarantee the sector would thrive on its own. But Nvidia is emerging as an open-source champion—with this deal; with the Nemotron open-source models it is developing; and with billions of dollars it has handed over to open-source AI developers such as Thinking Machines Lab, Poolside, Reflection and others so they can continue to afford its pricey chips. That makes Nvidia a counterweight to the rich closed-source AI firms, namely Anthropic and OpenAI, which also depend on Nvidia hardware but are racing to develop their own alternatives (with Broadcom’s help). Indeed, Hugging Face hopes Nvidia will help it expand its user base to 100 million from 18 million currently, according to Clem Delangue, Hugging Face CEO. Still, there’s no getting around the amount of power Nvidia is amassing, with sizable stakes in neoclouds such as CoreWeave and Nebius; AI firms OpenAI, Anthropic and SpaceX; hardware makers such as MediaTek and Intel; and a slew of firms in the data center field that are helping it lock in its hardware bundle. Chances are Nvidia will get this deal past U.S. regulators, given the Trump administration’s focus on AI progress. How it fares with regulators in other countries—particularly in Europe, where Hugging Face has a big presence—is a whole other question. https://www.theinformation.com/articles/nvidia-faces-doj-antitrust-probe-over-complaints-from-rivals?utm_campaign=article_email&utm_content=article-17768&utm_medium=email&utm_source=sg&rc=gzsl71
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D J's profile picture on Select App
DJ
D J
·5 years ago
shared a media post in group #The Most Important Thing
Prediction - Cybersecurity funds are poised for explosive growth. Global spending on cybersecurity exceeded $150 billion in 2021 and will likely continue to be a high-growth industry. Investment in ...
Cy
Cyril commented · 3 days ago
Palo Alto Networks lifted revenue 34% to $3.4 billion in the three months ending in July. CEO Nikesh Arora attributed the growth, which accelerated from 31% the quarter prior, to growing demand for cybersecurity from companies seeking to defend against new AI-powered threats. Still, Palo Alto Networks reported a net loss of $282 million in the quarter, compared with $254 net income a year prior, stemming in part from costs associated with its $25 billion acquisition of CyberArk earlier this year. The company touted growing sales of its AI-powered software: Arora said that one product released last spring that focused on securing companies’ AI agents has grown to over $120 million in annual recurring revenue. Arora also said that the company’s XSIAM product, which uses AI to detect and flag potential security threats, surpassed $700 million in annual recurring revenue, up from $400 million a year earlier. Arora also announced that Palo Alto Networks on Tuesday closed an acquisition of Console, a startup that sells software that handles employees’ IT support requests directly in Slack using AI agents. The deal reflects Arora’s growing appetite for deals that expand Palo Alto Networks beyond its core business of cybersecurity into adjacent IT management categories; The Information reported last month that Arora was seeking out such deals. “AI is underscoring the urgent need for unified platforms,” Arora told shareholders, pointing to OpenAI’s recent AI security breaches as evidence of the need for more protection. “If [companies] deploy agents and those agents go rogue, how do we make sure our agents don’t run to Hugging Face?” https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/01/palo-alto-networks-panw-q4-2026-earnings.html
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DJ
D J
·4 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
pretty insane. i remember people were saying going below 5 would be impossible at industrial scale. 25% less power for 10-15% more performance in next year's iphones, probably desktop chips after th...
TSMC to Begin 3nm Chip Production Next Month
www.tomshardware.com

TSMC to Begin 3nm Chip Production Next Month

3nm chips from TSMC are getting closer.

Bo
Bobby commented · last month
TSMC is developing an advanced chip-packaging technology similar to what Intel offers, a sign that the Taiwanese giant is worried about Intel. https://www.theinformation.com/articles/tsmc-develops-ai-chip-packaging-tech-counter-intel?offer=rtsu-engagement-25%2Crtsu-featured-articles-pro&utm_campaign=RTSU%3A+TSMC+Develops&utm_content=14355&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=9983
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·3 years ago
shared a poll post in group #The Most Important Thing
[2024 Group Prediction] Who’s leading the global EV race this year? In Q4 2023, BYD overtook Tesla as the world's largest electric car company, achieving record sales of 525,409 battery electric veh...
Na
Nate commented · 2 weeks ago
China is not only exporting EVs, but also exporting a new competitive standard. #Auto Future Once Chinese brands enter a market, they reset expectations for range, equipment, software speed, charging performance and price. That may be even more dangerous for legacy OEMs than the vehicles themselves. Tariffs can buy time in protected markets. But they do not automatically force incumbents to improve. The real question is what legacy OEMs do with that time before the Chinese benchmark becomes the global default.#Data is beautiful https://medium.com/the-geopolitical-economist/how-china-ate-the-global-auto-industry-0a8e5ed2f186
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Bobby's profile picture on Select App
Bo
Bobby
·2 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thingvia#The Most Important Thing
Hynix’s U.S. listing will make the stock easier to buy. That’s a big deal. As things stand now, only one of the three primary makers of memory chips—Micron Technology—is U.S. based (the third is anoth...
SK Hynix Is the Overlooked Memory Chip Maker
www.theinformation.com

SK Hynix Is the Overlooked Memory Chip Maker

The memory chip market right now is governed by a triumvirate of companies, led by South Korean firm SK Hynix, followed by Samsung, also of South Korea, and U.S. chipmaker Micron. The three stocks soared more than 200% over the last year—and yet they’re still cheap, especially relative to Nvidia ...

SM
Sam Mendoza commented · 2 months ago
The recent memory chip selloff offers investors a new opportunity to jump into the sector. Samsung is the best bet (https://www.theinformation.com/articles/samsung-new-memory-chip-underdog-now?offer=rtsu-engagement-25%2Crtsu-featured-articles-pro&cio_link_id=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__78ca81c10356e79c74244627892e95b58455d370dcff128d8b5b345ed5d6e7a7&utm_campaign=RTSU%3A+Samsung+Is+the&utm_content=14230&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=9879).
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Tasia's profile picture on Select App
Ta
Tasia
·2 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
The massive global data center buildout is causing parts shortages around the technology industry. This is perhaps most evident in today's memory prices, which are skyrocketing. So much so that consum...
Gadget prices have fallen for decades. Then AI happened.
www.cbsnews.com

Gadget prices have fallen for decades. Then AI happened.

The race to build AI data centers is leading to a global shortage of memory chips, driving up the cost of personal electronics.

JC
Jerome Cody commented · 19 hours ago
TrendForce forecasts Apple’s memory costs for a 256GB iPhone 18 Pro will quadruple year over year in Q3. Apple reportedly won’t pass the full price increase on to customers. #Gadgets https://9to5mac.com/2026/09/03/apple-paying-400-more-for-iphone-18-pro-memory-says-trendforce/?_bhlid=2d5c34f14a84ea038164e8d5e86a4d89564498f5
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risk is largely a matter of opinion