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The Most Important Thing
The Most Important Thing
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risk is largely a matter of opinion

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risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

The Most Important Thing
The Most Important Thing
Lessons from Investment Gurus
Community Logo

risk is largely a matter of opinion

You are invited to join

risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

The Most Important Thing
The Most Important Thing
Lessons from Investment Gurus
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risk is largely a matter of opinion

You are invited to join

risk is largely a matter of opinion

The Most Important Thing

The Social Community forThe Most Important Thing

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risk is largely a matter of opinion

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Successful investing requires thoughtful attention to many separate aspects, all at the same time. Omit any one and the result is likely to be less than satisfactory. The idea of the most important things—each is a brick in a solid wall, and none is dispensable.

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Cyril's profile picture on Select App
Cy
Cyril
·last month
shared a poll post in group #The Most Important Thingvia#SpaceX 🚀
Here’s a question: If you’re an investor who wants exposure to Elon Musk, is #SpaceX 🚀 or Tesla a better bet? #The Most Important Thing Today, the answer seemed to be Tesla, with shares in the elec...
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Cy
Cyril commented · 3 weeks ago
Tesla and #SpaceX 🚀 are deepening ties (https://www.theinformation.com/articles/elon-musk-building-terafab-team-inside-tesla?offer=rtsu-engagement-25%2Crtsu-featured-articles-pro&cio_link_id=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__f25baf539a1e92aac8bbdf5f7219971f4a85e2bde90ab7584453ee595c9b6265&utm_campaign=RTSU%3A+N55+Characters&utm_content=13999&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=9699)in a chip push as merger chatter swirls.
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·2 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Elon Musk’s big robotaxi reveal on Thursday night went down like a lead balloon with investors today. Tesla shares fell 9%, while shares of Uber, whose business is theoretically at risk from a Tesla r...
Tesla shares fall after Elon Musk’s glitzy ‘Cybercab’ event disappoints
www.ft.com

Tesla shares fall after Elon Musk’s glitzy ‘Cybercab’ event disappoints

Stock drops 9% as investors bemoan ‘underwhelming’ lack of detail about planned autonomous fleet

SM
Sam Mendoza commented · 2 weeks ago
New Jersey lawmakers are expected to vote on a bill that would require driverless cars to have lidar — effectively banning Tesla vehicles. #Auto Future https://www.theverge.com/transportation/962309/new-jersey-robotaxi-bill-lidar-tesla?utm_source=snacks&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=snacks_20260709&utm_content=99ee62a9ee4f842c8df663c19004378a
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Jerome Cody's profile picture on Select App
JC
Jerome Cody
·5 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
The Great SaaS Meltdown has started and there’s no going back… A new AI-oriented workflow is coming… the great SaaS meltdown has started. For most of the past two decades, enterprise software benefit...
$300 Billion Evaporated. The SaaS -Pocalypse Has Begun.
www.forbes.com

$300 Billion Evaporated. The SaaS -Pocalypse Has Begun.

AI didn’t kill software. It broke the SaaS growth story. $300B vanished as markets repriced legacy models and shifted toward agent-driven, outcome-based economics.

Ta
Tasia commented · 2 weeks ago
All the talk of “SaaSpocalypses” starts with a core assumption: very soon, “vibecoding” will be able to replace the kinds of sophisticated software solutions on which enterprises once invested millions each year. But is any of this actually TRUE? Consulting firm Bain & Company is reportedly trying to find out. Financial Times reports that B&C are attempting to vibecode their own versions of products from hundreds of potential acquisition targets, to determine both the companies’ long-term value and how their offerings might evolve in the future. The project started with a small team of software engineers in 2023 but has now reportedly exploded, and involves a large number of the firm’s consultants and associates. According to FT, this has already moved out of the theoretical space, and Bain’s vibecoded alternatives are influencing acquisition and investment decisions in real-time. One private equity exec told the paper that they’ve slowed their deal making in light of Bain’s results, and are applying additional scrutiny to any and all SaaS ventures, while an other investor said that they dropped out of the bidding for an analytics company after seeing Bain’s vibecoded mock-up. But not everyone is convinced that the strategy is entirely sound. On X, Chamath Palihapitiya suggested that vibecoding a mock-up of a powerful piece of software doesn’t necessarily give Bain or its clients a deeper or more nuanced understanding of the underlying business or technology. He asks “Do you think vibing the UI of Google search would even scratch the surface of helping you understand the complexity that sits behind it?” Ultimately, Chamath dismisses the initiative as “busy work,” and another example of the already-outdated push for AI “tokenmaxxing.” https://www.ft.com/content/e5bac4d1-b1f8-43a4-bd54-b182d5357af0?_bhlid=1136a3aaa633ea45fdaa15eab9f79128d5ff2ad8
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·6 months ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
I'd wager Anthropic's founders would like nothing better than to steal OpenAI's thunder by being first to tap the public markets. Presuming the economy doesn't falter (and that is by no means certain)...
Anthropic Will Test The Markets First
johnbattelle.medium.com

Anthropic Will Test The Markets First

2026 Predictions, #9

Na
Nate commented · 2 days ago
Advanced Micro Devices said Wednesday it would make an equity investment of “up to $5 billion” in Anthropic “in the future,” and the Claude AI maker would use AMD’s AI server chips starting next year. Anthropic has been steadily diversifying its AI server sources and is evaluating chips from other providers including startups and Microsoft, The Information has reported. AMD implied that Anthropic would agree to purchase a substantial number of its server chips, which would eventually consume up to 2 gigawatts of power, and their announcement also implied AMD would purchase access to Claude models to help it design better chips. AMD shares rose 2% and have already risen nearly 150% this year. AI developers OpenAI and Meta also have announced agreements to use AMD chips, though it isn’t clear how much they will end up using or when. AMD’s stock has surged as numerous cloud providers purchase its hardware to diversify from Nvidia’s. However, Nvidia is nearly seven times bigger than AMD in revenue and is growing its revenue about 30 percentage points faster than AMD (while also experiencing accelerating sales), underscoring the gap in performance. Besides Google’s DeepMind, Anthropic is one of the other major AI developers that doesn’t heavily rely on chips from AMD rival Nvidia; it has developed its models using chips from Google and Amazon, for instance. But even Anthropic has started paying billions of dollars a year for Nvidia chips as it races to get more computing capacity to meet customer demand. Anthropic’s private valuation is nearly $1 trillion, meaning the AMD investment would represent about 0.5% of Anthropic shares at the current price. Anthropic has filed to go public as soon as this fall. https://ir.amd.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1292/amd-and-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnership-to-deploy-up-to-2-gigawatts-of-amd-instinct-mi450-series-gpus
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Tasia's profile picture on Select App
Ta
Tasia
·4 weeks ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
The massive global data center buildout is causing parts shortages around the technology industry. This is perhaps most evident in today's memory prices, which are skyrocketing. So much so that consum...
Gadget prices have fallen for decades. Then AI happened.
www.cbsnews.com

Gadget prices have fallen for decades. Then AI happened.

The race to build AI data centers is leading to a global shortage of memory chips, driving up the cost of personal electronics.

Na
Nate commented · 2 weeks ago
Smartphone shipments around the world fell 11% in the second quarter, Counterpoint Research reported on Monday, which it said was the lowest second quarter levels in 13 years. #Gadgets #Data is beautiful The research firm attributed the sales drop to rising prices for smartphones caused by higher memory chip costs, which in turn is a result of the AI data center boom squeezing supplies of memory. Manufacturers such as Samsung have raised some prices, while iPhone maker Apple has raised prices for some hardware devices except the iPhone. But Apple is expected to hike iPhone prices when it unveils its next generation in the fall. Despite the price increases, Samsung had the leading market share with 24%, Counterpoint estimated, while Apple’s share rose to 20%. https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/samsung-increases-some-galaxy-prices-as-cost-pressures-mount/?utm_campaign=%5BREBRAND%5D%20%5BTI-AM%5D%20Th&utm_content=1095&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=124 https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/global-smartphone-shipments-second-quarter-hit-lowest-13-years-memory-chip-2026-07-13/
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Jerome Cody's profile picture on Select App
JC
Jerome Cody
·2 years ago
shared a poll post in group #The Most Important Thing
One of these is coming off of a fresh and brutal beating (Google/Alphabet) and the other has recovered so far spectacularly from their own beating (Facebook/Meta). Which of these Ad Giants betting bi...
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Na
Nate commented · 2 days ago
Alphabet bested expectations across the board in Q2, with revenue up 24% year over year, powered by major Google Cloud growth and steady gains in search ads. The stock still dropped roughly 8% following the report, however, as Alphabet posted negative free cash flow for the quarter, and raised its 2026 capex guidance well above prior estimates. Investors are increasingly treating AI infrastructure spending as a tax on earnings, rather than a growth narrative, and it seems even a strong report isn’t enough to offset these concerns. https://www.barrons.com/articles/alphabet-earnings-googl-stock-price-274aed13?_bhlid=8a7aaf670e40ada14dc429e65805a0c01036420a
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Nate's profile picture on Select App
Na
Nate
·last year
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Last year Palantir Technologies was the single best-performing stock in the S&P 500, rising 340%. The software company has been on a tear lately, too, in no small part because key backers like Peter T...
Analysts Split on Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): Jefferies Sees 65% Downside, While Wedbush Remains Bullish on AI Growth
finance.yahoo.com

Analysts Split on Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): Jefferies Sees 65% Downside, While Wedbush Remains Bullish on AI Growth

We recently compiled a list of the 10 Trending AI Stocks on Investors’ Radar. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) stands against the other AI

JC
Jerome Cody commented · 2 weeks ago
Surprised many folks are against what Karp was saying - I think he’s spot on. Claude is a trojan horse. Frontier labs are trying to eat everything. The alpha is in owning the context imo Anthropic is on a jaw-dropping trajectory, poised to out-earn every public software company except Microsoft by year-end. With a run-rate already surpassing Salesforce and Adobe, this three-year-old startup is redefining what's possible in B2B. Dive in to see how Anthropic is reshaping the landscape and leaving giants in its wake. https://www.saastr.com/by-year-end-anthropic-will-out-earn-every-public-software-company-except-microsoft/?mkt_tok=NzIwLVJTVC0zMTkAAAGi26wMuHzGUKdRrdi2N5T8QHDJYGu5-CDM7WO5z3Zt5bGhUeSIHX7uhZzBCEdcR_puYvT7xMxJSkPKkD57mk_GPb3hzWt5aMSdQAZJJcIgXkSL
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·2 years ago
shared a poll post in group #The Most Important Thing
[2024 Group Prediction] Who’s leading the global EV race this year? In Q4 2023, BYD overtook Tesla as the world's largest electric car company, achieving record sales of 525,409 battery electric veh...
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Roger Lee changed their vote · 2 weeks ago
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Nate's profile picture on Select App
Na
Nate
·2 years ago
shared a poll post in group #The Most Important Thing
[2024 Group Prediction] Does Warner Bros. Discovery make a big comeback this year? Shares just dropped 12% in Q4 as the company reported a net loss of $400M, but they ended 2023 with $6.16B in free c...
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Bo
Bobby commented · 3 days ago
a judge blocked the Ellisons’ Paramount Skydance from completing its $110 billion purchase of Warner Bros. Discovery for 14 days. Closing of the deal had appeared imminent: Paramount had received a spate of regulatory approvals from countries around the world. The U.S. government had already signed off on the deal, but a bunch of states went to court to block it. And Monday’s ruling, by the judge hearing the case, suggests the states have a decent chance of winning. That would be disastrous for Paramount. It’s already paying a high price for WBD—Netflix abandoned a previously arranged purchase of half of WBD rather than try to match Paramount’s offer. If the court case delays Paramount’s completion of the purchase after Sept. 30, Paramount has to pay a fee of $650 million for every quarter the closing is delayed. And if regulators kill the deal, Paramount will have to pay a $7 billion termination fee to WBD. That’s on top of the $2.8 billion it paid earlier this year to break up the WBD-Netflix deal. So you can imagine a scenario where the current deal falls apart and Paramount is out roughly $10 billion. Paramount shares fell 2% to $8.57 today. That’s well below the $12 to $16.02 price at which a group of investors is putting in new equity to help fund the WBD purchase. The Ellisons’ investment in Paramount is suddenly looking a lot less promising. https://www.wsj.com/business/media/judge-temporarily-blocks-paramount-warner-deal-a9c6af43?mod=hp_lead_pos3&utm_campaign=article_email&utm_content=article-17490&utm_medium=email&utm_source=sg
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Bobby's profile picture on Select App
Bo
Bobby
·3 weeks ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thingvia#The Most Important Thing
Hynix’s U.S. listing will make the stock easier to buy. That’s a big deal. As things stand now, only one of the three primary makers of memory chips—Micron Technology—is U.S. based (the third is anoth...
SK Hynix Is the Overlooked Memory Chip Maker
www.theinformation.com

SK Hynix Is the Overlooked Memory Chip Maker

The memory chip market right now is governed by a triumvirate of companies, led by South Korean firm SK Hynix, followed by Samsung, also of South Korea, and U.S. chipmaker Micron. The three stocks soared more than 200% over the last year—and yet they’re still cheap, especially relative to Nvidia ...

SM
Sam Mendoza commented · 5 days ago
The recent memory chip selloff offers investors a new opportunity to jump into the sector. Samsung is the best bet (https://www.theinformation.com/articles/samsung-new-memory-chip-underdog-now?offer=rtsu-engagement-25%2Crtsu-featured-articles-pro&cio_link_id=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__78ca81c10356e79c74244627892e95b58455d370dcff128d8b5b345ed5d6e7a7&utm_campaign=RTSU%3A+Samsung+Is+the&utm_content=14230&utm_medium=email&utm_source=cio&utm_term=9879).
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Sam Mendoza's profile picture on Select App
SM
Sam Mendoza
·2 years ago
shared a link post in group #The Most Important Thing
Waymo appears to be far far ahead anyone else in autonomous driving. They could really run errr drive away with this! Autonomous vehicle company Waymo, a subsidiary of Google parent Alphabet, anno...
Investing to bring the Waymo Driver to more riders
waymo.com

Investing to bring the Waymo Driver to more riders

Today, we’re excited to announce that we’ve closed an oversubscribed investment round of $5.6 billion, led by Alphabet, with continued participation from Andreessen Horowitz, Fidelity, Perry Creek, S

SM
Sam Mendoza commented · 3 weeks ago
Over to jolly old England, where UK autonomous vehicle interest Wayve has filed to sell shares on the London Stock Exchange’s new Private Securities Market. As the title implies, this is NOT the same as going public. The new venue allows for trading in private companies through a regulatory framework known as PISCES (Private Intermittent Securities and Capital Exchange System). Basically, companies offer scheduled, occasional auction windows during which their shares can be traded. Investors go through an intermediary like a bank of broker, known as a Registered Auction Agent (RAA), that actually place trades on their behalf. Proceeds then go to pre-existing shareholders, not the companies themselves, as in any other secondary market. Wayve is an “Embodied AI” company which developed a self-learning “AI driver” and foundation model, serving as a “brain” for self-driving vehicles. They’ll become the first major company to participate in the LSE’s Private Securities process, holding their first “closed auction” on July 8. The company was most recently valued at $8.6 billion, and will allow staffers to sell up to $85 million on the secondary market. #Auto Future https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-01/wayve-files-for-share-sale-on-london-bourse-s-new-private-market
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Todd Smith's profile picture on Select App
TS
Todd Smith
·3 years ago
shared a media post in group #The Most Important Thing
Should I cash out on Nvidia? I bought a lot of nvidia several years ago and currently have a thousand shares. My portfolio has multiplied In value several times. Seeing how nvidia is near its all time...
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TS
Todd Smith commented · last week
Nvidia on Wednesday released a new small, open-source model for “physical” AI that operates in the real world, including for robots. #Robotics Revolution 🦾🤖🦿 The model, Cosmos 3 Edge, is just 4 billion parameters and can run on a customer’s own computer rather than in a data center. It can act as both a so-called vision language model or a world model, both of which help robots navigate or understand their surroundings. (There’s heated debate in robotics over which type of model is best.) Nvidia also released new versions of its Jetson computer for powering robotics applications, though they are less powerful and have less memory than the prior version. Deepu Talla, Nvidia’s vice president of robotics and edge AI, said that, collectively, 2.5 million developers and 10,000 companies have used Nvidia’s Jetson hardware and Cosmos models. Nvidia’s non-data center revenue streams, which include hardware sales from Jetson, Nvidia’s new PC and gaming card sales made up 8% of its revenue last quarter. #Auto Future https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/ai/cosmos/
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